Turkey report summer 2017

Sadly I have been following over a dozen hens and these five poults are all I am seeing. Other hens are starting to flock up with no poults. I believe that spring flood must have killed a lot of nest and the bobcat population here is tremendous. This fall we will be trapping hard.  The one lone reddish headed turkey, does anyone know what its problem is? I was told today survivor rate this year is around 6% state wide. Speculation is predators benefiting from farming practices and broke up fields lots of edges.